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Champions — Chelsea

The master plan of Roman Abramovich has been threatening for three seasons now and with the Blues under the management of Carlo Ancelotti, they might just have the bottle to take the Premier League title away from United, who in turn will have to cope without the magic of Cristiano Ronaldo. There is nobody in the squad who can replace the Portuguese winger who is worth 30 goals over the course of the season.

Wayne Rooney will threaten, but he has to be played up front like he does for England. Last season when England boss Fabio Capello was asked how he managed to find Rooney’s goalscoring form, the Italian simply said that he put Rooney in front of goal. There could be a lethal partnership for United between Rooney and Dimitar Berbatov, but there are too many bit-part players in their midfield. Michael Carrick is perpetually injured, Owen Hargreaves’ career is all but over, Nani has promise, but is not quite world class, same with Darren Fletcher and Anderson who was torn apart by Barcelona in last season’s Champions League final. There is definitely some promise in Antonio Valencia, but I don’t expect Sir Alex to make him a regular starter in the Red Devils side. Ryan Giggs and Paul Scholes should have retired at the end of last season. The pair still show good touches, but it is time for the old guard to move aside.

Chelsea on the other hand have an established midfield which includes Frank Lampard, Michael Essien, John Obi Mikel, Michael Ballack, Florent Malouda and Deco. The acquisition of Yuri Zhirkov could also prove valuable as being a left-sided player he will expect to run out in the midfield as Ashley Cole has made the left-back position his own.

Playing under the experienced Ancelotti will be a major asset as the former Italian midfielder knows how to win and knows how to get his team to win. As manager at Milan he won the Serie A title as well as two Champions League titles. It should have been three were it not for Liverpool’s dramatic comeback in 2005.

Liverpool came so close to top honours last season, but I fear they will again miss out on taking the title. Other than Fernando Torres, I don’t see anybody in the Reds squad who can give Rafael Benitez 20-plus goals. They’ve lost the midfield magic of Xabi Alonso who I believe was an unsung hero in the Liverpool side. They may have bought Alberto Aquilani, but the Italy international is very injury-prone and considered more of an attacking midfielder, which is where Steven Gerrard will be.

Liverpool’s other big signing, Glen Johnson, basically just replaces Alvaro Arbeloa who joins Alonso at Real Madrid. There are no real additions that will make a major difference to their squad. I back Liverpool to come second to Chelsea this season.

Champions League places — Liverpool, Man United, Arsenal

The Gunners will hold on to their top-four place. The big talk is of Manchester City stealing their place in the Champions League, but for all the money in the world, City cannot break into the top four this season. Having watched them in pre-season against Orlando Pirates and Kaizer Chiefs — albeit without some of their big signings — they looked very shaky at the back and Mark Hughes will struggle to repay the faith shown to him by the Man City owners.

Money and new players does not buy you success. Chelsea discovered it takes a few seasons to get the ideal combinations together and even though City have some good names, such as Gareth Barry, Robinho, Carlos Tevez, Kolo Toure and Emmanuel Adebayor, they will not be strong enough as a unit to make Eastlands a fortress. You need to win your home games and a lot of clubs will fancy their chances on any given day in Manchester.

Fifth — Tottenham

Harry Redknapp has transformed a team which was in a shambles at the start of last season into Europa Cup contenders. Provided their injury-prone defenders Ledley King, Jonathan Woodgate and Michael Dawson can make a speedy return to fitness, they should have plenty of strength at the back and coupled with a solid midfield and goal-scoring strikers, Spurs should for all money make European qualification seem simple.

The old partnership of Peter Crouch and Jermain Defoe is back together again with Robbie Keane and Roman Pavlyuchenko adding some fire power, there should be plenty of goals for the North London club this season.

Relegated — Burnley, Birmingham, Portsmouth

Portsmouth are in deep trouble. With all due respect, when your big signing of the summer is Aaron Mokoena, you have to admit you are in for a tough season. They are very unsettled with regards to both ownership and management. Paul Hart is still the caretaker coach, but Pompey have a very thin squad and will struggle to find goals, especially now that Peter Crouch has left for Spurs.

Burnley qualified for the Premier League by means of winning the Championship playoffs, but I think the stresses of the English top flight will prove too much for the Clarets to deal with. They will spark a few surprise results, but come May next year, they will be wondering where to find points.

Birmingham City may have a quality manager in Alex McLeish, but similar to Burnley they will find life in the top flight difficult. Expect them to battle out with Hull City for the final relegation place, but Phil Brown’s Tigers will use their Premier League experience to remain up for one more season.




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6 Responses to “English Premier League preview”

Manchester City - “they will not be strong enough as a unit to make Eastlands a fortress. You need to win your home games and a lot of clubs will fancy their chances on any given day in Manchester.”

Justin, mate, perhaps you should stick to reporting on putt-putt and indoor cricket - you clearly know very little about the EPL, or you do no research before hitting the keyboard.

Man City’s home ground Eastlands IS already a fortress, and has been for the last 2 seasons.
They won 13 out of 18 home games, last season and had the third best home record in the premier league.
It was their AWAY form - one of the worst in the EPL - that caused them to finish mid table.

Man City, with their squad and support base will have no problem winning or drawing over 90% of their home games - whether or not they challenge for a Champions league place or end up in the top third / mid table will depend on their away form.

Think about this - with a much weaker frontline, they were one of the clubs that scored the most goals (their problem was their poor defence - they conceded far too many goals and far more than the top four clubs)- add the likes of Adebayor, Teves and Santa Cruz to the line up and do you think that they will score fewer or even more goals this season?

Best case sceanrio - top 4 finish in the EPL, and a good run in the Carling and FA cup.
Most likely scenario - top 6 finish in EPL - cup games are a lottery, so who knows.

Worst case scenario - like Real Madrid of old (Galacticos team), they will scroe and concede a bagfull of goals and end up 7th or 8th in the EPL - watch out for many high scoring games!

One thing that I guarantee you - they will be entertaining and interesting to watch.

(Report abuse)

Peter L on August 14th, 2009 at 8:20 am

They’ve lost the midfield magic of Xabi Alonso who I believe was an “unsung hero in the Liverpool side”

not by the liverpool fans,unless rafa does not rest his best players like last season i just cant see liverpool winning the league but fancy them to beat madrid in the champions league final
sky packages

(Report abuse)

ian barrett on August 14th, 2009 at 8:30 am

Peter L, mate, you are indeed right about their record of at home. I understand they did well there last season, but imho I don’t think Eastlands will scare managers when they take their teams there. Three of the ‘big four’ sides won there last year as well as Everton and Fulham (both in Europe) and Tottenham. Completely agree with you that away form is vital as clearly three of the big four teams won at ‘fortress’ Eastlands. I still maintain clubs should fancy their chances of picking something up at Eastlands.

I realise they have bought seven new players, but I don’t think such big spending will result in an immediate impact. It will take time. The Galacticos era at Real Madrid was slightly different as Florentino Perez built the team up by purchasing at least one big-name player per year and not four new strikers in the space of a year.

Luis Figo joined in 2000, Zinedine Zidane joined in 2001, Ronaldo joined in 2002 and David Beckham in 2003. Clearly, the squad was built up after assessing each season. Granted, they had success immediately, but also had great home-grown players in the side such as Raul and Iker Casillas.

For sure mate, it will be one entertaining season.

@Ian, I know the Reds fans loved Alonso, but still he was not praised enough. I hope he does well at Real Madrid. Liverpool v Real Madrid final – big call. Good luck.

(Report abuse)

Justin L on August 14th, 2009 at 10:26 am

Some good points, Justin, but I still believe that a 72% win record at home (no draws!)is likely to scare many managers.
If you were a manager knowing that statistically you had a 28% chance of winning away at Man City’s Eastlands, would you be bullish or a bit scared?

To your valid point about 3 of the big 4 winning 3 of the 5 games that Man City lost at Eastlands last season, if you were a manager of a team outside the top 4, how would you feel about the fact that statistically, you had an 11% chance of winning at Eastlands?

A bit scared, perhaps?

A point that you may have missed is that some of Man City’s major rivals have also become weaker - Man U losing Tevez and Ronaldo, Liverpoool losing Alonso, Arenal - well, you know where two of their great players have gone to!

Add to that the fact that both Man U and Liverpool are drowning in debt……………

(Report abuse)

Peter L on August 14th, 2009 at 2:46 pm

Justin, well, first of Johnson a direct replacement for Arbalo, take the tinted rose glasses off please and come down to Mother Earth. I think if you had a stronger backround on the EPL your judgements would be taken serious. Acqualani was bought for five seasons not five games and he will come right, i must agree with one comment we will sorley miss Alonso, oh and Gerrard has chipped in with goals, so i don’t think Torres was the only one scoring goals.

i think Mark (Man City) played 95% youth and 5% first team so you really can’t judge them on the form in SA.

(Report abuse)

Daniel on September 8th, 2009 at 12:32 pm

[…] Premier League is back, and by now we’ve surely all read through the season previews and predictions around the web. So let’s stick to what we do best – and preview this weekend’s […]

(Report abuse)


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Justin is currently editor of the Essential Sports service at Cape Town-based agency Sunday Media. After completing his media and politics degree at UCT, this writer's work has been syndicated online to four continents, via the likes of Fox Sports, Virgin Mobile and Soccer365.

A brief sports career saw Justin become a master in the art of both putt-putt and corridor cricket before injuring himself while playing fantasy football. Nonetheless, he still holds a strong passion for all sport and is looking forward to seeing what Bafana Bafana can do in 2010.
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